Maryland Poll Shows Strong Opposition to Tax Hikes Amid Budget Crisis

Maryland Poll Shows Strong Opposition to Tax Hikes Amid Budget Crisis

A new Gonzales Research & Media poll reveals that most Maryland voters oppose tax increases to address the state’s looming $3 billion budget deficit, presenting a significant challenge for Governor Wes Moore’s administration.

The poll, conducted between December 27 and January 4, found overwhelming opposition to various tax increase proposals: 77% against income tax hikes, 73% against sales tax increases, and 77% opposing property tax increases. This resistance spans across political affiliations, racial groups, and age demographics.

Despite the tax controversy, Governor Moore maintains a 61% approval rating, though showing some signs of softening support. The percentage of voters who “strongly approve” of his performance has declined from 39% in September to 29% in the latest poll.

The survey also explored a hypothetical 2026 gubernatorial matchup between Moore and former Governor Larry Hogan, with Moore leading 52% to 38%. Pollster Patrick Gonzales noted that Hogan’s performance among Democratic voters (18% support) falls short of the estimated 30% cross-party support needed for a Republican to win statewide in Maryland.

Governor Moore and Senate President Bill Ferguson have indicated they will maintain a “high bar” for any tax increases in 2025, though both have expressed openness to discussions. The state faces additional fiscal pressure from a $1.3 billion deficit in the Transportation Trust Fund over the next six years.

The poll surveyed 811 likely voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5%.