New Poll Projects Tight Oregon Governor’s Race

A new poll says that Republicans might have a chance to take the governor’s seat in Oregon. 

A Hoffman Research Group survey of 603 likely voters from May 11-12 gives Chris Dudley 48 percent to current Gov. Tina Kotek’s 44 percent, just outside the ± four percent margin of error. 

About 58 percent said that Oregon is on the wrong track. About 53 percent viewed Kotek unfavorably. The poll assumes that Dudley will face off against Kotek in the Nov. 3, 2026 election. 

Oregon’s primary is on May 19. Dudley is one of many Republican candidates, including Danielle Bethell, Hope Dalrymple, Ed Diehl, Christine Drazan, and Kyle Duyck. 

Those running on the Democrat ticket include Forest Alexander, James Atkinson, Donnie Beckwith, and David Beem.

Oregon hasn’t elected a Republican governor since 1982.

Republicans take the lead in the race for governor in deep-blue Oregon, per Hoffman Research poll.

Chris Dudley: 48%
Tina Kotek: 44%

— Leading Report (@LeadingReport) May 16, 2026

🚨 JUST IN: Republican and former NBA player Chris Dudley LEADS Oregon governor’s race against Gov. Tina Kotek (D), per a new poll

🔴 Chris Dudley: 48% (+4)
🔵 Gov. Tina Kotek: 44%

He wants no more men in women’s sports

Flip red, Oregon!

Hoffman Research (R)

Democrats… pic.twitter.com/IqX7zrtUti

— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) May 15, 2026

🚨 JUST IN: Former NBA star and Republican Chris Dudley is CRUSHING it, now LEADING radical Dem Gov. Tina Kotek in the Oregon Governor’s race!

🔴 Dudley: 48% (+4)
🔵 Kotek: 44%

Oregon desperately needs a Republican governor. The state has turned to sht under Kotek. pic.twitter.com/q0GsUuS8PO

— Gunther Eagleman™ (@GuntherEagleman) May 15, 2026

🚨JAW-DROPPING POLL: Republicans lead by 4% in the race for governor in deep-blue Oregon.

Oregon – 2026 Governor
🟥Chris Dudley 48% (+4)
🟦Tina Kotek* 44%

If Dudley wins the Republican primary, polls suggest that Kotek—who is deeply unpopular—is finished.

Hoffman/Dudley | May… pic.twitter.com/nSxiNqqAp0

— Election Time (@ElectionTime_) May 16, 2026

But then Oregon will have magical mail in voting and the democrat will win by 12%… https://t.co/dUpUUsaEOp

— Tim Young (@TimRunsHisMouth) May 15, 2026

New – Governor Poll – Oregon

🔴 Dudley 48%
🔵 Kotak (Inc) 44%

🔵 2024 results – Harris +15

Hoffman R #C (🔴) – LV – 5/12 pic.twitter.com/b32MCV8g4E

— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) May 15, 2026

Editor’s Note: Do you enjoy Townhall’s conservative reporting that takes on the radical Left and woke media? Support our work so that we can continue to bring you the truth.

Join Townhall VIP and use promo code FIGHT to receive 60% off your membership.